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Mixed Signals
are in the
Gold and Silver Markets

mixed signals - Stop and Go


Originally Posted on 12/04/2016 @2:09pm

by Steven Warrenfeltz


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✟

Mixed Signals

Stop and Go

This week, there are positive and negative technical patterns showing up in the charts.

However, there are also economic factors that'll be in the news that trumps (no pun intended) what the technical indicators are showing.


Economic Factor #1 - On Sunday, December 4th, Italians will go to the polls to vote on Prime Minister Renzi’s Referendum to give him more control over the government.

The polls currently show that it will be a 'No' vote, if this is the way Italians vote, it won’t be good for Italian banks or the Euro.

When the Euro falls, so does gold and silver, because it gives strength to the U.S. Dollar. 


Economic Factor #2 - On Thursday, December 8th, the European Central Bank will be meeting to announce whether or not they will continue their bond buying program past March 2017.  

If they say that they will continue to purchase bonds past March, it will hurt the Euro, but if they state that it will stop in March, then it will help the Euro, and also Gold and Silver.


Economic Factor #3 - The other item looming on the horizon is the Federal Reserve’s meeting on December 14. 

Most traders expected a interest rate increase, and it is priced in most the markets, except the stock market.  

But until the meeting occurs and the Federal Reserve gives their announcement along with their outlook, it will continue to hold down the prices of gold and silver.


In the gold and silver charts below, there is minimal technical analysis because the economic factors described above could swing the prices in a moment's notice.



GOLD

In this week's Gold chart I’ve outlined a positive pattern known as an "Expanding Wedge."

The expanding wedge is a positive pattern because when you find this pattern in a price chart, the expectation is for the price to break through the top of it and move higher.   

Gold Price Chart - 12/04/2016

Charts provided courtesy of TradingView.com




Gold's Price Resistance &
Support Levels

Gold's Resistance Level

$1225.00

$1200.00

$1180.00


Gold's Support Levels

$1150.00

$1125.00

$1100.00


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SILVER

Silver, like gold, is displaying an expanding wedge pattern on its chart. Additionally, it is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern, both of which are bullish indicators for silver prices. These patterns suggest that the price of silver is likely to rise soon.

Silver Price Chart - 12/04/2016

Charts provided courtesy of TradingView.com


Silver's Price Resistance and
Support Levels


Silver's Resistance Level

$17.25

$17.10

$16.85



Silver's Support Level

$16.15

$15.90

$15.65




US DOLLAR

For the last month, the U.S. dollar has been rapidly moving higher. Following the 2016 Presidential Election, the U.S. dollar surpassed its long-term resistance level of $101.00.


The formation of a head and shoulders top indicates a bearish trend for the U.S. dollar and suggests a positive outlook for Gold.

U.S. Dollar Price Chart - 12/04/2016

Charts provided courtesy of TradingView.com




U.S. Dollar's Price Resistance and Support Levels

U.S. Dollar's Resistance Level

$102.00

$101.00

U.S. Dollar's Support Level

$100.20

$99.75




Music

While I was writing this post, I listened to an acoustic station on the free side of PANDORA.

Before yesterday, I’ve never heard of this artist or the song, but I found a live performance of the song I heard; he’s a talented musician named Eliot Bronson and the song’s title is 'You Wouldn't Want Me If You Had Me.'

I’ve looked up his other songs, and I'm surprised he doesn’t have a bigger name. 

Here’s a playlist of his I found; Eliot Bronson Playlist (link updated)

Note: this website is not affiliated with Pandora.


God Bless (✟) and I hope you have a Great Week! SW



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